Inflation figures are continuing to fall in the wake of the coronavirus crisis. This was illustrated by yesterday’s +0.6% preliminary German CPI for May, down from 0.9% in April and the lowest for almost four years.
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WHAT HAPPENED? Debt levels are soaring and unorthodox central banking policies are giving support. Whereas in the past, debt discipline tended to counter loose monetary policy, nowadays they’re both on the same side of the equation. What will the final outcome of such policies be? Some argue inflation will be back.
High frequency economic indicators in China are showing a decent recovery, with industrial activity now 10% below normal levels, while consumer activity remains 20% below normal.
Washington is weighing up more aggressive economic measures against China, threatening the commercial truce reached some months ago. President Trump let it be understood that the virus was created in a laboratory, and accused China of covering up its coronavirus outbreak and failing to prevent it from spreading around the world.